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	<title>Comments on: Wii&#8217;re gonna fail.</title>
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	<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/</link>
	<description>Journalist John M. Guilfoil&#039;s blog and portfolio</description>
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		<title>By: Blast - Best of 2008: John Guilfoil&#8217;s top 10 games - The Online Magazine</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-366</link>
		<dc:creator>Blast - Best of 2008: John Guilfoil&#8217;s top 10 games - The Online Magazine</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2008 06:03:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-366</guid>
		<description>[...] Wii games? Yeah. We are. And it&#8217;s not just because I said Wii would fail back in 2006. You can make the case for Mario Kart, and you can argue Brawl into the mix, but 2008 was a [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Wii games? Yeah. We are. And it&#8217;s not just because I said Wii would fail back in 2006. You can make the case for Mario Kart, and you can argue Brawl into the mix, but 2008 was a [...]</p>
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		<title>By: PRrag: All the news that&#8217;s fit to spin &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Reuters: Nintendo franchize future popularity not certain</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-21</link>
		<dc:creator>PRrag: All the news that&#8217;s fit to spin &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Reuters: Nintendo franchize future popularity not certain</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Nov 2006 22:37:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-21</guid>
		<description>[...] One of the first articles on PRrag.com came back in June when I declared my doubt that the Nintendo Wii would result in a modern gaming revolution and completely change the way people play games overnight, as Nintendo loyalists claimed it would shortly after E3. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] One of the first articles on PRrag.com came back in June when I declared my doubt that the Nintendo Wii would result in a modern gaming revolution and completely change the way people play games overnight, as Nintendo loyalists claimed it would shortly after E3. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: PRrag</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-20</link>
		<dc:creator>PRrag</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jun 2006 15:29:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-20</guid>
		<description>A niche is not what&#039;s interested in PS3 and 360 because a niche is not what&#039;s interested in PS2 and Xbox--the mainstream, the vast majority of video game consumers purchased Sony and Microsoft over Nintendo over the last two years. In a year&#039;s time, the Wii will (hopefully) have the Niche and the two leaders will still be the two leaders in the American market.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A niche is not what&#8217;s interested in PS3 and 360 because a niche is not what&#8217;s interested in PS2 and Xbox&#8211;the mainstream, the vast majority of video game consumers purchased Sony and Microsoft over Nintendo over the last two years. In a year&#8217;s time, the Wii will (hopefully) have the Niche and the two leaders will still be the two leaders in the American market.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-19</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jun 2006 11:10:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-19</guid>
		<description>Yeah, it&#039;s just if the journalists love Wii than who will buy a PS3 for at least $399.99 (if lowered by launch)? I would say somewhat of a niche is interested in 360/PS3.

Keep in mind that if newspeople think this is cool and new, the public may well too.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yeah, it&#8217;s just if the journalists love Wii than who will buy a PS3 for at least $399.99 (if lowered by launch)? I would say somewhat of a niche is interested in 360/PS3.</p>
<p>Keep in mind that if newspeople think this is cool and new, the public may well too.</p>
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		<title>By: PRrag</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-18</link>
		<dc:creator>PRrag</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Jun 2006 23:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-18</guid>
		<description>Playstation 3 is just the next generation of Playstation. But it&#039;s still Playstation. This isn&#039;t Wii 2 or Wii 3 or Wii 4, it&#039;s the Wii and it&#039;s a totally new concept. Of course journalists are going to want to see and cover it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Playstation 3 is just the next generation of Playstation. But it&#8217;s still Playstation. This isn&#8217;t Wii 2 or Wii 3 or Wii 4, it&#8217;s the Wii and it&#8217;s a totally new concept. Of course journalists are going to want to see and cover it.</p>
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		<title>By: Anonymous</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-17</link>
		<dc:creator>Anonymous</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Jun 2006 23:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-17</guid>
		<description>&quot;As for the six hour line at E3: Wii is different. It&#039;s never been seen before and everyone wanted to write a good story on it.&quot;

As far as I know, very few people had ever played the PS3 before E3. If Wii was just another GameCube, people would be uninterested, regardless of newness.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;As for the six hour line at E3: Wii is different. It&#8217;s never been seen before and everyone wanted to write a good story on it.&#8221;</p>
<p>As far as I know, very few people had ever played the PS3 before E3. If Wii was just another GameCube, people would be uninterested, regardless of newness.</p>
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		<title>By: Pedro101</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-16</link>
		<dc:creator>Pedro101</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jun 2006 05:25:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-16</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the comment on my Xanga site.  Sincerely, Pete</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the comment on my Xanga site.  Sincerely, Pete</p>
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		<title>By: SCAMP ATTACK</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-15</link>
		<dc:creator>SCAMP ATTACK</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Jun 2006 01:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-15</guid>
		<description>Third party support.

PSX and PS2 had the majority lead, thus had the most market share.

That was 1999-2005.  Fast forward to today.

Fewer games are becoming profitable because of high development costs.  Developers are afraid to try new ideas, because the cost of developing the game may very well exceed the sales.  Every once in a while, someone gets lucky (Katimari), but nobody can deny how the market is swamped with sequals and re-runs.  That&#039;s not because of a lack of creativity, it&#039;s because of a lack of funds.

Now we&#039;re getting into high-res HDTV super plasma hologram nonsense tacked in.  Don&#039;t expect companies to wander outside their proven franchises after the first year or so.  Once the first company takes a 2 million dollar loss on a Halo-lookalike for the PS3, they&#039;ll get the picture.  HELLO TONY HAWK 7.

Wii has an advantage because the games are far less expensive to make.  Companies will be able to test new grounds for innovation and ideas without fear of bankruptcy.

Also, the Virtual Consol is rumored to allow independent developers make their own games and sell it online.  This alone could very well turn gaming into an accepted form of art.

Again, the reason for success in any generation of consols has always been third party support.  Forget the high-res, forget the online, history has proven the system with the most exclusive third-party releases wins.  Always.  Prove me wrong.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Third party support.</p>
<p>PSX and PS2 had the majority lead, thus had the most market share.</p>
<p>That was 1999-2005.  Fast forward to today.</p>
<p>Fewer games are becoming profitable because of high development costs.  Developers are afraid to try new ideas, because the cost of developing the game may very well exceed the sales.  Every once in a while, someone gets lucky (Katimari), but nobody can deny how the market is swamped with sequals and re-runs.  That&#8217;s not because of a lack of creativity, it&#8217;s because of a lack of funds.</p>
<p>Now we&#8217;re getting into high-res HDTV super plasma hologram nonsense tacked in.  Don&#8217;t expect companies to wander outside their proven franchises after the first year or so.  Once the first company takes a 2 million dollar loss on a Halo-lookalike for the PS3, they&#8217;ll get the picture.  HELLO TONY HAWK 7.</p>
<p>Wii has an advantage because the games are far less expensive to make.  Companies will be able to test new grounds for innovation and ideas without fear of bankruptcy.</p>
<p>Also, the Virtual Consol is rumored to allow independent developers make their own games and sell it online.  This alone could very well turn gaming into an accepted form of art.</p>
<p>Again, the reason for success in any generation of consols has always been third party support.  Forget the high-res, forget the online, history has proven the system with the most exclusive third-party releases wins.  Always.  Prove me wrong.</p>
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		<title>By: PRrag</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-14</link>
		<dc:creator>PRrag</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Jun 2006 19:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-14</guid>
		<description>I agree that new things take getting used to, and I think that player motion will gradually move into the gaming world. My main point was that I think the console that moves into the  &quot;third dimension&quot; of player motion should first max out the visual and audible features first.

Just to clarify, I didn&#039;t say that Wii will fail because they didn&#039;t set a release date or price. I actually said that those factors were helping Nintendo because they raise journalists&#039; curiosity. Suddenly release date and price become anticipated news stories.

As for the six hour line at E3: Wii is different. It&#039;s never been seen before and everyone wanted to write a good story on it. Also, like I said, Nintendo put on a much, much better show at E3. Everyone agrees with that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree that new things take getting used to, and I think that player motion will gradually move into the gaming world. My main point was that I think the console that moves into the  &#8220;third dimension&#8221; of player motion should first max out the visual and audible features first.</p>
<p>Just to clarify, I didn&#8217;t say that Wii will fail because they didn&#8217;t set a release date or price. I actually said that those factors were helping Nintendo because they raise journalists&#8217; curiosity. Suddenly release date and price become anticipated news stories.</p>
<p>As for the six hour line at E3: Wii is different. It&#8217;s never been seen before and everyone wanted to write a good story on it. Also, like I said, Nintendo put on a much, much better show at E3. Everyone agrees with that.</p>
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		<title>By: SZero013</title>
		<link>http://prrag.com/2006/06/06/wiire-gonna-fail/comment-page-1/#comment-13</link>
		<dc:creator>SZero013</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Jun 2006 19:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://prrag.com/?p=14#comment-13</guid>
		<description>So did the N64 controller when it first came out, and so did the PSX dual analog controller (which is STILL a mess if you ask me).

New things take time to get used to, based upon the brain&#039;s ability to compensate and adjust to muscle movements.  The innate ability to KNOW what to do makes Nintendo&#039;s controller great, but even so people will have to get used to the settings.

But this is the same thing we see with keyboard and mouse combinations.  The mouse is an incredibly intuitive controller (not realistic, INTUITIVE), one very well suited for PC games.

You state that the Wii will fail because they didn&#039;t release a date or price.  Since when did this matter at E3?  Microsoft didn&#039;t do such a thing either, and I don&#039;t think that exactly hurt them with the 360 launch.  Rather, it&#039;s them not producing enough consoles and not coming up with enough good games (the best games thus far have been PC PORTS).

Or lack of HD capabilities?  A small population in America actually own HDTVs.

How about graphics?  To be perfectly honest, I had to look at your closely to actually notice the changes between the consoles.

You don&#039;t really put a good reason why the Wii will fail, even though I sort of agree that it will happen.

You also ignored the importance of the Nintendo DS, the way that it also suffered at first for being &quot;innovative&quot; and &quot;gimmicky,&quot; yet the hardware has become incredibly popular, sold better than the PSP, and continually has great games even though it has far less power.

And finally, what about a 6 hour line at E3?  Yes, people realize that you need to get used to the controller, but at the same time the reports have stated that the majority of people have actually ENJOYED using it, had fun with the controller.

There&#039;s only one reason you could or should have really put down that really does hurt Nintendo: the stupidity of the consumer.  People willing to buy anything just because of a name, even if the games that they have presented are not interesting at all.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So did the N64 controller when it first came out, and so did the PSX dual analog controller (which is STILL a mess if you ask me).</p>
<p>New things take time to get used to, based upon the brain&#8217;s ability to compensate and adjust to muscle movements.  The innate ability to KNOW what to do makes Nintendo&#8217;s controller great, but even so people will have to get used to the settings.</p>
<p>But this is the same thing we see with keyboard and mouse combinations.  The mouse is an incredibly intuitive controller (not realistic, INTUITIVE), one very well suited for PC games.</p>
<p>You state that the Wii will fail because they didn&#8217;t release a date or price.  Since when did this matter at E3?  Microsoft didn&#8217;t do such a thing either, and I don&#8217;t think that exactly hurt them with the 360 launch.  Rather, it&#8217;s them not producing enough consoles and not coming up with enough good games (the best games thus far have been PC PORTS).</p>
<p>Or lack of HD capabilities?  A small population in America actually own HDTVs.</p>
<p>How about graphics?  To be perfectly honest, I had to look at your closely to actually notice the changes between the consoles.</p>
<p>You don&#8217;t really put a good reason why the Wii will fail, even though I sort of agree that it will happen.</p>
<p>You also ignored the importance of the Nintendo DS, the way that it also suffered at first for being &#8220;innovative&#8221; and &#8220;gimmicky,&#8221; yet the hardware has become incredibly popular, sold better than the PSP, and continually has great games even though it has far less power.</p>
<p>And finally, what about a 6 hour line at E3?  Yes, people realize that you need to get used to the controller, but at the same time the reports have stated that the majority of people have actually ENJOYED using it, had fun with the controller.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s only one reason you could or should have really put down that really does hurt Nintendo: the stupidity of the consumer.  People willing to buy anything just because of a name, even if the games that they have presented are not interesting at all.</p>
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